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Friday, Oct 2, 2026

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France Bond Risk Premium Hits 150 Bps First Time Since 2012
topics 📈 Global Markets tags BusinessMacroeconomicsWorldEurope keywords France Bond RiskUBS

Five year sovereign credit default swaps for the French government reached 81 basis points on Oct. 2, marking a multiyear high as investors demand more protection against potential default. This surge occurs as France's 10 year bond risk premium over Germany widened to 150 basis points, the highest level since the 2012 euro debt crisis. UBS warns that proposed €43 billion in spending cuts and savings are insufficient to address the nation's long term fiscal challenges.

Borrowing costs for Paris have now climbed above those of Italy and Greece, and some investors view blue chip companies like LVMH as safer credits than government bonds. The instability comes as France manages a projected budget deficit of 5.4% of GDP this year and prepares for a record €340 billion bond issuance in 2027. This turmoil has led some hedge funds to bet on a weaker euro against the dollar as risk premiums rise across euro area government bonds.

Image via @peddersophie on X
Earlier version from Wednesday, Sep 30
French Bond Spreads Over Germany Hit 135 Bps Widest Since Debt Crisis
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