A new survey of 750 likely voters conducted Sept. 15 and 16 shows a Democratic challenger holding a narrow advantage in the race for the local Senate seat. Adam Hamilton holds 45% support compared to Republican Roger Marshall's 43%, while independent David Graham trails at 4%. Hamilton’s favorability ratings are 41% positive to 30% negative, whereas Marshall is viewed as unfavorable by 48% and favorable by 41% of those polled by Emerson.

Republican Ty Masterson leads Democrat Cindy Holscher 51% to 44% for Kansas Governor. Voter identification shows Republicans at 48.6% and Democrats at 31.7%, but current estimates place Hamilton's probability of victory at a 32% all time high. Other candidates in the statewide cycle face mixed reactions, with Masterson holding a 40% favorable to 44% unfavorable rating.